China’s soybean imports show American farmers have more to fear than the trade war

01/17/2019

|

Tom DiChristopher

  • China’s soybean offtake is about 37 percent lower than during the first few weeks of 2018, according to tanker-tracking firm ClipperData.
  • Soybean prices have rallied on hopes the United States and China will resolve their ongoing trade dispute.
  • However, the remarkably weak imports suggest there is a real demand problem in the world’s second-largest economy.

China’s soybean imports in the opening weeks of 2019 have plunged from recent years, raising concerns for American farmers who were hoping that a trade deal would offer swift relief.

Soybean shipments offloaded in China this year are down about 37 percent from the first two weeks of 2018, according to tanker-tracking firm ClipperData. To be sure, a couple weeks of data represent a small sample size, but the drop is very concerning in light of market conditions and trade tensions, says Ken Smithmier, director of research for agricultural markets at ClipperData.

 

[Read more here.]