Diversification is important because it is associated with economic growth and reduced volatility. Diversification of exports, which provide foreign exchange and enable imports of critical goods, services, and know-how, is crucial for developing countries. The question we address in this brief is how export diversification is affected by trade policies, including multilateral rules, regional trade agreements, and national measures. The record on diversification is poor across a large number of developing countries, especially in Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America. Asian and Eastern European countries have performed better. Though diversification first requires domestic reforms, the current trading system does not help. The world trading system does not support developing countries with export diversification; moreover, the situation is deteriorating. To promote export diversification in developing countries and to sustain long-term global growth, the Group of Twenty (G20) must restore the credibility of the rule-based system. Reducing tariffs and tariff escalation in labor-intensive manufactures is critical. In many developing countries, the diversification potential for agriculture is severely impeded by subsidies, tariff barriers, and protectionist standards. Individual countries can take many steps to foster export diversification, the most important of which are improving the efficiency of their service sector, liberalizing imports of services, and encouraging inward direct investment. Reforms of the world trading system, spearheaded by the G20, can help promote these changes at the country level.
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Uri Dadush is a non-resident scholar at Bruegel, based in Washington, DC and a Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South in Rabat, Morocco. He is also Principal of Economic Policy International, LLC, providing consulting services to international organizations as well as corporations.
Abdelaaziz Ait Ali is a resident Economist who joined OCP Policy Center after five years’ experience at The Central Bank of Morocco.
Mohammed Al Doghan is an Associate Professor at King Faisal University
Muhammad Bhatti PhD, MBA, is an assistant professor in the College of Business, King Faisal University, in Hofuf, Saudi Arabia.
Carlos Braga works in the fields of international economics, macroeconomics scenarios, corporate strategy and international agencies (World bank, IMF, WTO, OCDE, UN).
Abdulelah Darandary is an Economist and researcher at KAPSARC. He primarily works on the KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM) project.
Anabel González is host of the Peterson Institute’s Trade Winds virtual event series.
Niclas Poitiers joined Bruegel as a research fellow in September 2019.
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